Working With Evidence: Bayes’ Theorem

How we modify our existing probability given a piece of new information.

Photo by Volodymyr Hryshchenko on Unsplash

The story begins with a family gathering. You have a family dinner tonight, you are responsible for the food, and you know that almost all of your family love Spaghetti. You might end up saying that the probability that all the members of your family will eat the Spaghetti you…